VI.3
Applying Economics to Grasshopper Management
Melvin D. Skold and Robert M. Davis
Evaluating
Benefits
Typical Ranches
Cost of Treatments
Benefit-Cost
Ratios
References
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Economic considerations are a major part of grasshopper management.
Rangeland grasshopper control programs, as well as other pest management
strategies, use the concepts of economic threshold (ET) and economic
injury level (EIL). The ET is defined as the pest population (density)
that produces incremental damage which is just equal to the incremental
cost of control (Headley 1972). Pedigo and Higley (1992) advance
an identical definition. Viewed from this perspective, the damage
caused by the pest must be at least as great as the cost of treatment
before the ET is reached. The EIL and ET are related concepts. For
some pests, observations of earlier life stages can define an ET
for an EIL density of a subsequent life stage. For grasshoppers,
however, density surveys are completed and ET evaluations are made
based on those surveys.
For many years, grasshopper control programs followed an administrative
guideline intervention level of 8 grasshoppers/ yd2
as suggested by Parker in 1939. However, the Grasshopper Integrated
Pest Management (GHIPM) Project found the ET to vary, depending
on a number of conditions in the range forage, grasshopper, and
ranch system. Because the ET for rangeland grasshoppers varies with
conditions, the GHIPM Project developed a microcomputer-based decision-support
system (Hopper) to help those responsible for grasshopper control
programs make realistic estimates of the ET. This chapter discusses
the physical, biological, and economic rationale that determines
the ET.
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Evaluating
Benefits
There is a long history of public support for control of rangeland
grasshoppers. Individual efforts cannot control widespread grasshopper
outbreaks. However, there also is a public benefit from protecting
rangelands from serious outbreaks of grasshoppers. Public rangeland
has many uses. Ranchers lease rangeland for domestic livestock grazing,
the traditional economic use. Rangeland also supports a diverse
population of wildlife, provides recreation and open space, protects
soil from erosion, and contributes to the watershed for rivers and
streams. Rangeland grasshoppers eat and destroy forage that livestock
and range-consuming wildlife could use. When grasshopper infestations
occur on rangelands, ranchers relying on those lands for livestock
grazing incur economic losses. Reducing the density of grasshoppers
reduces losses to ranchers. The difference in ranch net returns
with and without grasshopper treatments is the basis for the benefits
calculation. If grasshoppers exceed the ET and land managers or
agencies apply treatments, those treatments can limit the reduction
in the ranchers' net returns.
The GHIPM Project's decision-support system, Hopper, includes
an economics component that evaluates damage reduction (limiting
the decrease in net returns for ranchers) for each of the approved
grasshopper treatment alternatives. The damages abated are the benefits
resulting from the treatment program. The estimate of damages abated
likely is unique for a typical ranch and makes use of the type of
range being considered for grasshopper control programs.
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Typical
Ranches
Because it would be very costly to estimate the damage caused by
grasshoppers for each ranch using a grasshopper-infested rangeland,
we estimated benefits from grasshopper treatments for typical ranches
on the major range types for which a version of Hopper is available.
Typical ranches reflect the characteristics of ranches in an area.
They are typical with respect to rangeland productivity, livestock
on the ranch, grazing management practices, and livestock management
practices. To define typical ranches, we interviewed ranchers in
an area to identify the common practices. The typical ranch became
the barometer to evaluate benefits of grasshopper treatment programs
for a given range type. Consequently, typical ranches could be indicators
of the extent of the economic impact of grasshoppers on the net
incomes of ranchers using that range-type.
Suppose that, as a land manager, you are responsible for making
the decision about whether or not to conduct a grasshopper control
program in a given area. You know the typical ranch in your area
is a cow-calf operation that uses public grazing land along with
intermingled deeded rangeland. An economic decision model for the
typical ranch is available to show the options you can choose among
for dealing with an infestation of grasshoppers.
Here are some management strategies you may consider.
- Have a reserve of hay to supplement grazed forage, which may
vary with climate or grasshoppers;
- Find additional grazing land to lease;
- Use crop residues to replace forage lost to grasshoppers;
- Change livestock management practices to reduce forage requirements
(such as shift from a cow-yearling to a cow-calf marketing strategy,
purchase rather than raise herd replacements, or reduce the size
of the cow herd through culling);
- Purchase hay; and/or
- Initiate grasshopper control programs.
The economic decision model lets you consider simultaneously which
of these options will result in the least reduction in the expected
net returns from the ranch. You choose the option least costly to
the ranch, based on your current expectations about prices and costs.
The economic decision model for the nine typical ranches is incorporated
into Hopper. In Hopper, the decision model for the typical ranch
works with two other components that consider the physical and biological
systems present on the ranch. One component estimates the growth
of rangeland forage, given soil type(s), temperature, precipitation,
and related climatic variables. A second component estimates grasshopper
population dynamics and the amount of forage that grasshoppers eat
and destroy on the ranch.
The grasshopper population dynamics component of Hopper works with
the rangeland forage growth model to predict how much forage will
be available for grazing animals. Because some types of wildlife
also use rangeland forage, the amount of grazable forage available
to livestock depends on how much forage grew and how much remains
after grasshoppers and wildlife have eaten.
 |
| Figure VI.3-1-Determining
the benefit-cost (B/C) ratio and the economic threshold (ET),
based on grasshopper density per square yard and the cost of
treatments. |
The grasshopper population dynamics component of Hopper also lets
you consider each of the approved treatment options available. Treatment
options are determined by physical and biological conditions as
well as by the cost effectiveness of the options. Each option comes
at a different cost and behaves differently in its timing and effectiveness
on grasshoppers. The economic decision model for the typical ranch
uses these other two components of Hopper to evaluate the nontreatment
adjustments available to the rancher along with the cost and effectiveness
of alternative treatments.
To evaluate the benefits, Hopper compares the ranch net returns
with no treatment to the ranch net returns for a given treatment
at various grasshopper densities. Treatment benefits are the difference
in ranch net returns between a treatment option at a given grasshopper
density and ranch net returns with the no-treatment option. At low
grasshopper densities, ranchers may adjust their grazing or livestock
herd management to the loss of forage from grasshoppers. As grasshopper
densities increase, losses in net returns also increase. At some
point, the density of grasshoppers approaches the ET, and the use
of treatments becomes economically justified (fig. VI.3-1).
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Cost
of Treatments
Hopper determines the costs in addition to the benefits for each
treatment at varied densities of grasshoppers. Costs include materials
and application expenses per acre, based on recent experience. The
costs to apply a given treatment on the typical ranch in your area
vary directly with number of acres in the ranch. If you expect the
per-acre costs for the treatment(s) considered to differ from those
specified in Hopper, you can change the costs to your current best
estimate.
Hopper includes expected mortality (grasshopper kill) from each
treatment. If dosage, treatment strategy, plant cover, or terrain
is likely to change treatment effectiveness, the effective cost
of treatment also will change. The benefits (damages abated) will
not be as great from a treatment that is less effective (kills fewer
grasshoppers) than a treatment that kills more grasshoppers.
The treatment costs reflected in Hopper are the total cost of treatments
regardless of who pays. Through its Animal and Plant Health Inspection
Service (APHIS), Plant Protection and Quarantine (PPQ) staff, the
U.S. Department of Agriculture pays treatment costs for controlling
grasshoppers on Federal lands. The Department also pays a portion
of the cost of treating intermingled and adjacent private lands.
Some States also cost-share in the treatment programs. States may
pay a portion of the cost of treating leased State land and a portion
of the cost of treating private land. While the cost share may affect
the out-of-pocket costs that a given rancher must pay, cost-sharing
is not a part of the benefit and cost calculations of Hopper. Rather,
in Hopper, benefits are directly compared to total costs, regardless
of who pays.
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Benefit-Cost
Ratios
The ET is defined by a ratio of the per-acre benefits (B) and costs
(C), or B/C (B ¸ C). When B/C = 1.0, the ET is reached (fig. VI.3-1).
The B/C = 1.0 when the benefits line crosses the treatment cost
line. At that grasshopper density, the ET is reached. At grasshopper
densities less than where B/C = 1.0, damages (net return reductions)
are occurring but are less than the cost of treatment. At densities
greater than where B/C = 1.0, benefits (damages abated) are greater
than treatment costs, and economic losses occur in the absence of
treatments.
The B/C calculations in Hopper initially compare the costs of treatments
to the benefits that result in the year of treatment. Many ranchers
believe the benefits from effective treatments can last for several
years. Consequently, with Hopper you can specify the expected duration
(number of years) of control. If that number is >1, Hopper automatically
takes it into account when calculating the B/C ratio.
Analysis with Hopper under varied conditions shows that the long-applied
intervention level of 8 grasshoppers/yd2
is not appropriate. Rather than a fixed ET, the ET in Hopper varies
depending on rangeland productivity, the cost of replacing forage
lost to grasshoppers, treatment costs, and treatment efficacy. Other
physical, biological, and economic factors can affect the ET, too.
By running Hopper, you can determine the grasshopper densities necessary
to reach the ET on parcels like yours and the sensitivity of the
ET to various conditions.
By using Hopper to define the ET, the ET is dynamic and may change
from year to year at a given location. Further, the ET is different
from location to location in any given year. The ET is determined
by running Hopper for a typical ranch such as exists on a major
range type. The typical ranch reflects the most common practices
for the range type.
To characterize the ranches incorporated into Hopper, a ranch of
a given size is described. Size is measured by the number of livestock
as well as the amount of land available. The amount of grazing land
is determined and for the deeded land, the amount that is owned
and the amount that is leased are both specified. Public grazing
land is divided by management agency between Federal and State.
Grazing practices are also reflected in the economics component
of Hopper. The use specifies the length of the grazing season, the
time during which the different grazing land types are used, and
the time when other sources of feed are fed. If some grazed forage
is obtained from crop residue, that fact is reflected in Hopper.
If harvested forage is fed, the time of its feeding and its source
are also important.
The livestock management systems practiced and viable alternative
livestock systems also are built into Hopper. Thus, the herd culling
practices, typical calf crop, and disposition of steer and heifer
calves must be accurately represented in Hopper.
As Hopper is used to evaluate a treatment decision and to determine
the grasshopper density at which the ET is reached, several nontreatment
management adjustments are automatically considered. The options
available to each typical ranch are built into Hopper. Thus, if
a grasshopper invasion occurs, the relevant changes in forage management
and livestock herd management are considered simultaneously with
the authorized treatment options. If leasing grazing land to replace
grasshopper damaged grazing land is an option and leasing is less
costly than any treatment, leasing other grazing land will occur
before any treatment is applied. The availability of alternative
forage and livestock management options affects the position of
the benefits line and the grasshopper density at which the ET is
reached.
Upon running Hopper, you can determine a separate benefits line
for each approved treatment. Because treatments vary as to their
cost and efficacy, Hopper calculates different ET's for each
treatment. Of course, some treatments may not be possible because
of environmental and biological circumstances present. In such cases,
Hopper determines the ET's only for the treatment options consistent
with the conditions that prevail. Changes in treatment costs and
efficacy also are important to the position of the B/C line. If
treatments can be obtained at a reduced cost, the line shifts left
and the ET is reached at lower grasshopper densities than for higher
treatment costs.
Applying economic analysis to estimate the ET's for grasshopper
treatments provides information-based decisions. Hopper defines
typical ranches for important range ecosystems in which recurring
grasshopper problems occur. We discuss these ranches in Chapter
VI.4.
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References
Cited
Headley, J. C. 1972. Defining the economic threshold.
In: Pest control strategies for the future. Washington, DC: National
Academy of Sciences: 100-108.
Parker, J. R. 1930. Some effects of temperature
and moisture upon Melanoplus mexicanus Sanssure and Camnula
pellucida (Orthoptera). Bull. 233. Bozeman, MT: Montana Agricultural
Experiment Station. 132 p.
Pedigo, L. P.; Higley, L. G. 1992. The economic
injury level concept and environmental quality: a new perspective.
American Entomologist 38: 12-21.
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