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CARMA
3.3 (Case-based Range Management Advisor)
SYSTEM
REQUIREMENTS: CARMA requires Windows 95, 98, ME, NT, or 2000, 13MB
of disk space, and display settings of at least 800X600.
To
Install CARMA 3.3 for Windows
Scroll to the Bottom
USING CARMA
Because our goal was to produce a piece of software that is so
intuitive and accessible that it can be used with this brief set
of instructions, there is no cumbersome and alienating "User's Manual".
To begin your first consultation, simply click on "Consultation"
and then "New" and answer the questions as they appear. The
other buttons are intended to be self-explanatory and intuitive.
We believe that you will quickly become familiar and fluent in the
simple processes of using this software, but should you encounter
difficulties please feel free to contact us.
For questions regarding the performance of CARMA contact:
Professor L. Karl Branting
University of Wyoming Applied AI Lab
Department of Computer Science
University of Wyoming
P.O. Box 3682
Laramie, WY 82071
Tel: (307) 766-4258
FAX: (307) 766-4036
email: karl@index.uwyo.edu
For questions regarding grasshopper management contact:
Professor Jeffrey A. Lockwood
Department of Renewable Resources
University of Wyoming
P.O. Box 3354
Laramie, WY 82071
Tel: (307) 766-4260
FAX: (307) 766-5549
email: lockwood@uwyo.edu
ABOUT CARMA
CARMA: Case-based Range Management Adviser
Version: 3.3 February, 2001
Copyright © 1996, 2001 University of Wyoming Applied AI Lab
Department of Computer Science
University of Wyoming
P.O. Box 3682
Laramie, WY 82071
Program Development: John D. Hastings and L. Karl Branting
Concept & design: John D. Hastings, L. Karl Branting, Jeffrey
A. Lockwood
Entomological & pest management expertise: Jeffrey A. Lockwood
CARMA produces advice about the most economical responses to Wyoming
grasshopper infestations. CARMA does this by predicting the
proportion of available forage that will be consumed by grasshoppers
and estimating the economic returns of various treatment options.
The information required to make the forage loss prediction includes
the date, the infestation location on a Wyoming map, the range value
and infestation history of the location, the number of grasshoppers
per square yard, the grasshopper type and age distribution, the
relative recent precipitation and temperatures, and the total area
infested (including adjacent neighbors' lands).
CARMA LICENSE
All commercial rights to CARMA are retained by the University of
Wyoming Applied AI Lab, Professor L. Karl Branting, Director, Department
of Computer Science, University of Wyoming, P.O. Box 3682, Laramie,
WY 82071. CARMA is available free of charge to researchers, ranchers,
and employees of government agencies. CARMA may be copied free of
charge provided that each copy bears the University of Wyoming Applied
AI Lab copyright notice and this license.
Because CARMA is licensed free of charge, there is no warranty
for the program. CARMA is provided 'as is' without warranty of any
kind, either expressed or implied, including, but not limited to,
the implied warranties of merchantability and fitness for a particular
purpose. The entire risk as to the quality and performance of the
program is with you. Should the program prove defective, you assume
the cost of all necessary servicing, repair or correction.
Due to the highly variable and unpredictable nature of weather
in Wyoming and its effect on grasshopper infestations over an entire
growing season and beyond, predictions from any source, including
CARMA, cannot be expected to be 100% accurate.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
Development of CARMA was supported by grants from the University
of Wyoming College of Agriculture, a Faculty Grant-in-Aid from the
University of Wyoming Office of Research, and NSF Career Grant IRI-9502152.
Artwork is adapted from J. L. Capinera and T. S. Sechrist, Grasshoppers
(Acrididae) of Colorado: Identification, Biology, and Management,
Colorado State University Experiment Station Fort Collins Bulletin
No. 584S, 1M, June 1982.
HOW CARMA WORKS
CARMA is a case-based reasoning system that gives advice about
the most economical responses to Wyoming grasshopper infestations
based on roughly 140 combined years of entomologist expertise shared
among eight experts in Wyoming. Tests have shown that CARMA's
grasshopper forage consumption predictions, which are the core of
determining the best course of action, very closely approximate
the median predictions of the Wyoming experts. CARMA gives
advice by comparing the current infestation to previous infestations
(i.e., cases) and adapting the recommendations of the experts to
fit the current infestation. Infestation probabilities for your
location and the effectiveness of each treatment type are used to
predict the future probabilities of re-infestation for each treatment
type, and statistical methods are used to predict the range of economic
benefits for each treatment option.
Finally, a set of rules are used to select the possible treatments.
CARMA 3.3 Setup Instructions
- To install CARMA 3.3 on your computer, first click on the following
link, Click here to Download Carma 3.3,
to download the file carma33setup.exe to the hard drive of your
computer.
- After saving the file carma33setup.exe on your computer's hard
drive, starting this application will automatically install CARMA
3.3 on your computer's hard drive in a location you choose.
- To start the program, click on Start, then Programs, then look
for the folder labeled Carma 3.3.
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